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TSM — Taiwan Semiconductor

Semiconductors

Yahoo Finance

Last price

$204.81

2025-01-30

52w high

$221.01

-7.3% off high

5yr return

96%

since 2021-05-24

Active modes

0/3

BUY or WATCH

Price chart — last 12 months

Price with 50-day & 200-day MAs. Colored dots mark historical reversal-signal firings — see legend below.

Signal events on chart (last 252 days)

RSI crossed 50×13

50DMA reclaimed×3

Golden cross—

Higher lows (5)×7

Volume accumulation×20

Bullish RSI divergence—

Oversold / Fear

SKIP54.9· rank #8

⚠️ Pullback0/8·0w

FCF yield 13.9%. Quality: ROIC 25.1%, gross margin 67.7%, 5yr rev CAGR 106.8%. Analyst target +30.6% above current price.

Acceleration

SKIP35.7· rank #16

⚠️ Pullback0/8·0w

Operating margin expanding 238 bps YoY. Net margin expanding 10.6% above 3yr avg. P/E 29.8x (reasonable for the growth rate). Quality: ROIC 25.1%, gross margin 67.7%, 5yr rev CAGR 106.8%.

Quality at Fair Price

SKIP54.3· rank #4

⚠️ Pullback0/8·0w

Elite: ROIC 25.1%, gross margin 67.7%, op margin 60.3%. P/E 29.8x — fair zone (not deep value, not bubble). PEG 1.01. FCF yield 13.9%. Low leverage: D/E 0.15. 5yr rev CAGR 106.8%.

Score trajectory

How the score has evolved across recent scans for each mode. Rising score = setup forming.

Annual fundamentals

From yahoo fundamentalsTimeSeries (annual cadence).

Year-end	Revenue	FCF	Gross %	Op %	ROIC	EPS
2026-06-30	1270.38B	287.36B	67.7%	60.3%	25.1%	$136.25
2026-03-31	1134.10B	377.11B	66.3%	58.0%	25.1%	$111.55
2025-12-31	3809.05B	992.38B	59.9%	50.8%	30.2%	$327.35
2024-12-31	90.15B	56.76B	56.1%	45.7%	25.6%	$—
2023-12-31	69.41B	39.87B	54.4%	42.6%	21.4%	$—
2022-12-31	76.03B	54.09B	59.6%	49.5%	31.2%	$—
2021-12-31	56.87B	39.85B	51.6%	40.9%	22.5%	$—
2020-12-31	45.51B	27.96B	53.1%	42.3%	25.1%	$—
2019-12-31	34.65B	19.92B	46.1%	34.8%	—	$—

Universe metadata

Semiconductors

Hand off to Claude for qualitative deep-dive

Claude deep-dive prompt

My stock-scanner has flagged TSM with the following signals across multiple scoring modes:

1. Quality gate failed or no signals firing across all 3 modes — the framework currently sees no setup. Why might that be?

Please do a current deep-dive on TSM:

1. What's the actual business / what do they sell, in plain English?
2. Recent news + narrative: why is the market pricing this where it is right now? What's the bear case being priced in?
3. Is the long-term thesis intact, or has something fundamentally broken (moat erosion, secular decline, management issues)?
4. What's the upcoming catalyst calendar — earnings, product launches, regulatory dates?
5. Compare to peers: cheaper than peers / more expensive / similar?
6. If buying: is now the right entry, or is there a smarter staged-accumulation plan? Suggest specific price levels.
7. What's the biggest risk to a long position from here?

Use web search for any recent news (last 30 days) to ground your answer in current reality, not training cutoff.