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TDG — TransDigm

Industrial

Yahoo Finance
Last price
$1315.19
2025-05-15
52w high
$1377.88
-4.5% off high
5yr return
157%
since 2021-05-24
Active modes
0/3
BUY or WATCH
Price chart — last 12 months
Price with 50-day & 200-day MAs. Colored dots mark historical reversal-signal firings — see legend below.
Signal events on chart (last 252 days)
RSI crossed 50×21
50DMA reclaimed×6
Golden cross—
Higher lows (5)×11
Volume accumulation×18
Bullish RSI divergence×2
Oversold / Fear
SKIP49.0· rank #15
⚠️ Pullback0/8·0w

Death cross active. Quality: ROIC 20.5%, gross margin 60.1%, 5yr rev CAGR 16.5%. Analyst target +24.3% above current price.

Acceleration
SKIP39.3· rank #14
⚠️ Pullback0/8·0w

Operating margin expanding 269 bps YoY. ROIC expanding 4.1% above 3yr avg. Net margin expanding 4.4% above 3yr avg. Quality: ROIC 20.5%, gross margin 60.1%, 5yr rev CAGR 16.5%.

Quality at Fair Price
SKIP36.9· rank #19
⚠️ Pullback0/8·0w

Elite: ROIC 20.5%, gross margin 60.1%, op margin 47.2%. P/E 37.9x. FCF yield 3.0%. 5yr rev CAGR 16.5%.

Score trajectory
How the score has evolved across recent scans for each mode. Rising score = setup forming.
Annual fundamentals
From yahoo fundamentalsTimeSeries (annual cadence).
Year-endRevenueFCFGross %Op %ROICEPS
2025-09-308.83B2.04B60.1%47.2%20.5%$—
2024-09-307.94B2.04B58.8%44.5%19.0%$—
2023-09-306.58B1.38B58.3%44.4%16.4%$—
2022-09-305.43B948.00M57.1%40.8%13.8%$—
2021-09-304.80B808.00M52.4%35.2%9.9%$—
2020-09-305.10B1.21B51.9%34.3%—$—
2019-10-015.22B1.01B53.8%36.9%13.7%$—
Universe metadata
Industrial

Hand off to Claude for qualitative deep-dive

Claude deep-dive prompt

My stock-scanner has flagged TDG with the following signals across multiple scoring modes:

1. Quality gate failed or no signals firing across all 3 modes — the framework currently sees no setup. Why might that be?

Please do a current deep-dive on TDG:

1. What's the actual business / what do they sell, in plain English?
2. Recent news + narrative: why is the market pricing this where it is right now? What's the bear case being priced in?
3. Is the long-term thesis intact, or has something fundamentally broken (moat erosion, secular decline, management issues)?
4. What's the upcoming catalyst calendar — earnings, product launches, regulatory dates?
5. Compare to peers: cheaper than peers / more expensive / similar?
6. If buying: is now the right entry, or is there a smarter staged-accumulation plan? Suggest specific price levels.
7. What's the biggest risk to a long position from here?

Use web search for any recent news (last 30 days) to ground your answer in current reality, not training cutoff.