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NVDA — NVIDIA

Semiconductors

Last price
$124.61
2025-01-30
52w high
$149.38
-16.6% off high
5yr return
700%
since 2021-05-24
Active modes
1/3
BUY or WATCH
Price chart — last 12 months
Price with 50-day & 200-day MAs. Colored dots mark historical reversal-signal firings — see legend below.
Signal events on chart (last 252 days)
RSI crossed 50×17
50DMA reclaimed×5
Golden cross
Higher lows (5)×10
Volume accumulation×18
Bullish RSI divergence×1
Oversold / Fear
SKIP45.7· rank #16
⚠️ Pullback1/8·18w

Quality: ROIC 62.9%, gross margin 74.9%, 5yr rev CAGR 31.9%. Analyst target +49.1% above current price.

Up-day volume 1.5x down-day volume over last 10 days (accumulation)
Acceleration
SKIP33.3· rank #18
⚠️ Pullback1/8·18w

Operating margin expanding 522 bps YoY. Net margin expanding 18.0% above 3yr avg. P/E 31.1x (reasonable for the growth rate). Quality: ROIC 62.9%, gross margin 74.9%, 5yr rev CAGR 31.9%.

Up-day volume 1.5x down-day volume over last 10 days (accumulation)
Quality at Fair Price
WATCH59.7· rank #2
⚠️ Pullback1/8·18w

Elite: ROIC 62.9%, gross margin 74.9%, op margin 65.6%. P/E 31.1x. PEG 0.56. Low leverage: D/E 0.07. 5yr rev CAGR 31.9%.

Up-day volume 1.5x down-day volume over last 10 days (accumulation)
Score trajectory
How the score has evolved across recent scans for each mode. Rising score = setup forming.
Annual fundamentals
From yahoo fundamentalsTimeSeries (annual cadence).
Year-endRevenueFCFGross %Op %ROICEPS
2026-04-2681.61B48.59B74.9%65.6%62.9%$2.39
2026-01-31215.94B96.58B71.1%60.4%78.7%$
2025-01-31130.50B60.72B75.0%62.4%92.8%$
2024-01-3160.92B26.95B72.7%54.1%62.6%$
2023-01-3126.97B3.81B56.9%20.7%16.9%$
2022-01-3126.91B8.05B64.9%37.3%26.7%$
2021-01-3116.68B4.69B62.3%27.2%19.0%$
2020-01-3110.92B4.27B62.0%26.1%20.1%$
Universe metadata
Semiconductors

Hand off to Claude for qualitative deep-dive

Claude deep-dive prompt

My stock-scanner has flagged NVDA with the following signals across multiple scoring modes:

1. Quality at Fair Price (WATCH, score 59.7): Elite: ROIC 62.9%, gross margin 74.9%, op margin 65.6%. P/E 31.1x. PEG 0.56. Low leverage: D/E 0.07. 5yr rev CAGR 31.9%. Reversal signals firing: Up-day volume 1.5x down-day volume over last 10 days (accumulation). Stage: ⚠️ Pullback (⚠️ Pullback in uptrend).

Please do a current deep-dive on NVDA:

1. What's the actual business / what do they sell, in plain English?
2. Recent news + narrative: why is the market pricing this where it is right now? What's the bear case being priced in?
3. Is the long-term thesis intact, or has something fundamentally broken (moat erosion, secular decline, management issues)?
4. What's the upcoming catalyst calendar — earnings, product launches, regulatory dates?
5. Compare to peers: cheaper than peers / more expensive / similar?
6. If buying: is now the right entry, or is there a smarter staged-accumulation plan? Suggest specific price levels.
7. What's the biggest risk to a long position from here?

Use web search for any recent news (last 30 days) to ground your answer in current reality, not training cutoff.