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ASML — ASML Holding

Semiconductors

Yahoo Finance
Last price
$727.46
2025-01-30
52w high
$1080.23
-32.7% off high
5yr return
16%
since 2021-05-24
Active modes
0/3
BUY or WATCH
Price chart — last 12 months
Price with 50-day & 200-day MAs. Colored dots mark historical reversal-signal firings — see legend below.
Signal events on chart (last 252 days)
RSI crossed 50×14
50DMA reclaimed×5
Golden cross—
Higher lows (5)×4
Volume accumulation×22
Bullish RSI divergence×6
Oversold / Fear
SKIP50.6· rank #13
⚠️ Pullback1/8·18w

Quality: ROIC 47.1%, gross margin 52.8%, 5yr rev CAGR 15.6%. Analyst target +21.5% above current price.

↻ Up-day volume 1.3x down-day volume over last 10 days (accumulation)
Acceleration
SKIP41.9· rank #13
⚠️ Pullback1/8·18w

Operating margin expanding 268 bps YoY. Buyback: float shrinking 1.2% YoY. Net margin expanding 2.2% above 3yr avg. Quality: ROIC 47.1%, gross margin 52.8%, 5yr rev CAGR 15.6%.

↻ Up-day volume 1.3x down-day volume over last 10 days (accumulation)
Quality at Fair Price
SKIP52.6· rank #6
⚠️ Pullback1/8·18w

Elite: ROIC 47.1%, gross margin 52.8%, op margin 34.6%. Highly stable ROIC across 5 years (consistency 81%). P/E 60.2x. Low leverage: D/E 0.22. Buyback: float shrinking 1.2% YoY. 5yr rev CAGR 15.6%.

↻ Up-day volume 1.3x down-day volume over last 10 days (accumulation)
Score trajectory
How the score has evolved across recent scans for each mode. Rising score = setup forming.
Annual fundamentals
From yahoo fundamentalsTimeSeries (annual cadence).
Year-endRevenueFCFGross %Op %ROICEPS
2025-12-3132.67B11.03B52.8%34.6%47.1%$26.26
2024-12-3128.26B9.08B51.3%31.9%39.0%$19.24
2023-12-3127.56B3.25B51.3%32.8%50.0%$20.59
2022-12-3121.17B7.17B50.5%30.7%49.7%$16.07
2021-12-31—————$—
Universe metadata
Semiconductors

Hand off to Claude for qualitative deep-dive

Claude deep-dive prompt

My stock-scanner has flagged ASML with the following signals across multiple scoring modes:

1. Quality gate failed or no signals firing across all 3 modes — the framework currently sees no setup. Why might that be?

Please do a current deep-dive on ASML:

1. What's the actual business / what do they sell, in plain English?
2. Recent news + narrative: why is the market pricing this where it is right now? What's the bear case being priced in?
3. Is the long-term thesis intact, or has something fundamentally broken (moat erosion, secular decline, management issues)?
4. What's the upcoming catalyst calendar — earnings, product launches, regulatory dates?
5. Compare to peers: cheaper than peers / more expensive / similar?
6. If buying: is now the right entry, or is there a smarter staged-accumulation plan? Suggest specific price levels.
7. What's the biggest risk to a long position from here?

Use web search for any recent news (last 30 days) to ground your answer in current reality, not training cutoff.